The 2010 draft was loaded with talent at tight end, defensive line, and in the secondary. Quarterback? Running back? Not so much. Official Account: @fboutsiders Scott Kacsmar: @FO_ScottKacsmar Ben Muth: @FO_WordofMuth Aaron Schatz: @FO_ASchatz Vince Verhei: @FO_VVerhei — plus — Bill Connelly: @SBN_BillC Cian Fahey: @Cianaf Brian Fremeau: @bcfremeau Tom Gower: @ThomasGower Andrew Healy: @AndHealy Rivers McCown: @RiversMcCown Chad Peltier: @CGPeltier Rob Weintraub: @robwein Sterling Xie: @SterlingXie Need help on FanDuel or DraftKings? Purchase a subscription from the website that specializes in daily fantasy. This week’s Futures is devoted to what Matt Waldman thinks the first round should look like based on his perspective of the game. In the NFC Championship Game, Carolina puts up the biggest single-game DVOA of the year and one of the 10 best in DVOA history. The Panthers now go into Super Bowl 50 as clear favorites. New England’s new tight end brings a combination of blocking prowess and open-field skills that should have the rest of the AFC very worried. Von Miller and the Broncos defense put in a dominant show shutting down the league MVP and leading the Broncos to a championship. The national championship game will long be remembered for the flurry of scores over the final ten minutes, but two key stops by Alabama before that flurry began were just as crucial. In one of the most exciting college championships since Texas-USC, Alabama defeated Clemson thanks to special teams and explosive plays. This is the best possible championship game we could have gotten, with Alabama and Clemson as the two top teams with nearly equal top-end talent. But does Clemson have enough depth to get the win? Bill Connelly says goodbye to the 2015 college football season … and says goodbye to Varsity Numbers. The NFC North championship game featured two teams that were more alike than many might imagine. Was Minnesota even a true underdog? The 2010 draft was loaded with talent at tight end, defensive line, and in the secondary. Quarterback? Running back? Not so much. A lackluster crop of edge rushers is highlighted by an SEC player whose upside barely outshines his weaknesses. This year’s Football Outsiders QB projections absolutely love California’s Jared Goff, who now ranks among the top 10 QB prospects of the past two decades according to QBASE. It is a lot less excited about Carson Wentz, but that comes with a bit of a caveat: we had to try to incorporate FCS prospects into the system in order to project Wentz, and the same method would have underrated FCS prospect Joe Flacco. We’ll write more about the Wentz and FCS issue in an expanded FO version of QBASE to run next week. At ESPN Insider, we recapped the top and bottom three teams in adjusted games lost (AGL) for the season and what that could mean for their injury luck in 2016. If you missed it, our 2015 AGL report can be found here. The numbers strongly favor one wide receiver prospect in this year’s draft, but can those numbers be trusted in this case? Get a sneak peak at the top edge-rusher prospects according to our SackSEER system. Joey Bosa and Leonard Floyd are tied at the top, though Bosa is more of a sure thing. BYU’s Bronson Kaufusi is an interesting sleeper. A longer version of SackSEER will appear on Football Outsiders next week. Why does 1 extra yard scare teams into passing when 75 percent of the league is better at rushing on third-and-2? Also: QB sneaks, Cam Newton’s unique runs, and the Super Bowl-winning defense stepped up when it had to. It has been a slow month this offseason, but I was this week’s guest on RotoViz Radio’s The Numbers Game podcast with Kevin Cole to talk about free agency, team-building strategies and some of our recent stat articles such as AGL and failed completions. New England’s new tight end brings a combination of blocking prowess and open-field skills that should have the rest of the AFC very worried. The analysis of trades based on the value of draft picks and cap space appears on ESPN Insider this year. This article looks at four big recent NFL trades. Given the amount of cap space they gave up, the Maxwell/Alonso trade will only work for the Eagles if Byron Maxwell can become a Pro Bowl cornerback. Also, the Chandler Jones trade works out well for both sides, but even better for Arizona if they allow Jones to leave after one season and get a (likely very high) compensatory pick. This guest column by Phil Watkins looks for which combine drills have best predicted success for tight ends in the NFL, and comes away very unimpressed by the 2016 class. Bet with the leading sportsbook this season on NFL football at Sportsbook.ag and get a massive sign-up bonus. © Football Outsiders, Inc. // Site powered by Stein-Wein // Partner of USA TODAY Sports Digital Properties Source.